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Original Article

Predictive factors that influence the survival rates in liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

Clinical and molecular hepatology 2013;19(2):131-139.
Published online: June 27, 2013

Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Inje University Seoul Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Corresponding author: Soo Hyung Ryu. Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, 85, 2-ga, Jeo-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul 100-032, Korea. Tel. +82-2-2270-0012, Fax. +82-2-2279-4021, rshdrryu@medimail.co.kr
• Received: November 29, 2012   • Revised: February 23, 2013   • Accepted: February 27, 2013

Copyright © 2013 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Predictive factors that influence the survival rates in liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis
Clin Mol Hepatol. 2013;19(2):131-139.   Published online June 27, 2013
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Clin Mol Hepatol. 2013;19(2):131-139.   Published online June 27, 2013
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Predictive factors that influence the survival rates in liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis
Image Image Image Image Image
Figure 1 Cumulative survival rates according to the Child-Pugh score in SBP patients. A Child-Pugh score of ≥10 reflects a poor survival.
Figure 2 Cumulative survival rates according to the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in SBP patients. A MELD score of ≥20 reflects a poor survival.
Figure 3 Cumulative survival rates according to serum bilirubin level in SBP patients. A serum bilirubin level of ≥3 mg/dL is related to a poor prognosis.
Figure 4 Cumulative survival rates according to serum prothrombin time [international normalized ratio (INR)] in SBP patients. A prolonged serum prothrombin time (INR of >2.3) is related to poor prognosis.
Figure 5 Cumulative survival rates according to serum creatinine level in SBP patients. Renal dysfunction is associated with poor survival.
Predictive factors that influence the survival rates in liver cirrhosis patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis
Patients (n=95)
Gender (M/F) 70/25
Age (yr, mean±SD) 58.5±11.8
Cause
 HBV 46 (48.4%)
 HCV 10 (10.5%)
 Alcohol 27 (28.4%)
 Cryptogenic 12 (12.6%)
Child-Pugh class
 A 2 (2.1%)
 B 29 (30.5%)
 C 64 (67.4%)
MELD score*
 <20 41 (44.6%)
 ≥20 51 (55.4%)
Combined HCC
 Yes 39 (41.5%)
 No 55 (58.5%)
Laboratory findings
 Serum
  Albumin (g/dL) 2.5 (1.6-3.7)
  Bilirubin (mg/dL) 3.9 (0.3-38.1)
  Prothrombin time (INR) 1.7 (1.0-4.6)
  Creatinine (mg/dL) 1.1 (0.5-8.1)
 Ascitic fluid
  PMN (cells/mm3) 1,290 (250-25,592)
  Protein (mg/dL) 893 (228-3,780)
  LDH (IU/L) 79 (19-9,400)
  Glucose (mg/dL) 157 (0-570)
Microorganisms n (%)
Gram negative organisms
Escherichia coli 12 (25.5%)
Klebsiella 9 (19.1%)
Enterobacteriaceae 2 (4.3%)
Pseuodomonas 2 (4.3%)
Vibrio vulnificus 1 (2.1%)
Acinectobacter baumannii 1 (2.1%)
Gram positive organisms
Streptococcus 9 (19.1%)
Enterococcus 6 (12.8%)
Staphylococcus 3 (6.4%)
Micrococcus 1 (2.1%)
Fungus
Candida 1 (2.1%)
n (%) P-value
Gender 0.688
 Male 70 (73.7%)
 Female 25 (26.3%)
Age 0.903
 ≥60 39 (41.1%)
 <60 56 (58.9%)
Cause 0.020
 HBV 46 (48.4%)
 HCV 10 (10.5%)
 Alcoholic 27 (28.4%)
 Cryptogenic 12 (12.6%)
Child-Pugh class 0.026
 A 2 (2.1%)
 B 29 (30.5%)
 C 64 (67.4%)
MELD score* 0.002
 <20 41(44.6%)
 ≥20 51(55.4%)
Combined HCC* 0.031
 Yes 39 (41.5%)
 No 55 (58.5%)
1st diagnosis of SBP 0.139
 Yes 82 (86.3%)
 No 13 (13.7%)
Recurrence of SBP 0.578
 Yes 10 (10.5)
 No 85 (89.5)
Serum albumin (g/dL) 0.217
 ≥2.8 29 (30.5%)
 <2.8 66 (69.5%)
Serum bilirubin (mg/dL) 0.017
 <3.0 37 (38.9%)
 ≥3.0 58 (61.1%)
Serum prothrombin time (INR)* 0.001
 <1.7 42 (45.7%)
 1.7-2.3 36 (39.1%)
 >2.3 14 (15.2%)
Serum creatinine (mg/dL) <0.001
 ≤1.3 60 (63.2%)
 >1.3 35 (36.8%)
Ascitic PMN (cells/mm3) 0.456
 <1,000 41 (43.2%)
 ≥1,000 54 (56.8%)
Ascitic protein (mg/dL)* 0.343
 <1,000 mg 47 (56.6%)
 ≥1,000 mg 36 (43.4%)
Ascitic LDH (IU/L) * 0.587
 <225 64 (81.0%)
 ≥225 15 (19.0%))
Ascitic glucose (mg/dL)* 0.044
 <50 2 (2.5%)
 ≥50 77 (97.5%)
Presence/absence of bacteria 0.218
 Presence 39 (41.1%)
 Absence 56 (58.9%)
Gram stain 0.657
 Positive 13 (33.3%)
 Negative 20 (51.3%)
 Both 6 (15.4%)
Types of isolated microorganisms 0.651
E. coli 12 (26.7%)
Klebsiella 9 (20.0%)
Streptococcus 9 (17.8%)
Enterococcus 6 (13.3%)
 Others 11 (22.2%)
Numbers of cultured bacteria 0.914
 ≥2 9 (23.1%)
 1 30 (76.9%)
Variables Survival
OR, 95% CI P-value
Presence of HCC at the time of diagnosis of SBP 3.305, 1.646-6.638 0.001
Higher serum bilirubin (≥3 mg/dL) 3.827, 1.631-8.976 0.002
Prolonged serum PT (INR) <0.001
 <1.7 1.0 (reference)
 1.7-2.3 0.675, 0.310-1.470 0.322
 >2.3 4.117, 1.782-9.619 0.001
Renal dysfunction (Cr >1.3 mg/dL) 3.752, 1.884-7.475 <0.001
Lower ascitic glucose (<50 mg/dL) 28.849, 5.384-154.583 <0.001
Higher Child-Pugh score (≥10) - NS
Higher MELD score (≥20) - NS
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the enrolled patients

SD, standard deviation; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; PMN, polymorphonuclear leukocyte; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase.

MELD scoring was not available in 3 patients because there were no prothrombin time results.

There were no radiologic images in one patient.

Expressed as median (range).

Table 2. Profiles of the microorganisms isolated from ascitic fluid
Table 3. Results of univariate analysis for survival in cirrhotic patients with SBP

Data was not available in all of the enrolled patients.

HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; SBP, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis; PMN, polymorphonuclear leukocyte; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase.

Table 4. Results of multivariate analysis for survival in cirrhotic patients with SBP

OR, Odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; SBP, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis; Dx, diagnosis; PT, prothrombin time; INR, international normalized ratio; Cr, creatinine; NS, not significant; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease.