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Original Article

Clinical significance and predictive factors of early massive recurrence after radiofrequency ablation in patients with a single small hepatocellular carcinoma

Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2016;22(4):477-486.
Published online: December 25, 2016

1Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea

2Department of Medicine, Chosun University School of Medicine, Gwangju, Korea

3Department of Hepatology, Bundang Jesaeng Hospital, Seongnam, Korea

Corresponding author : Moon Seok Choi Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 81 Irwon-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul 06351, Korea Tel: +82-2-3410-3409, Fax: +82-2-3410-6983 E-mail: drmschoi@gmail.com
• Received: July 31, 2016   • Revised: October 4, 2016   • Accepted: October 28, 2016

Copyright © 2016 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Clinical significance and predictive factors of early massive recurrence after radiofrequency ablation in patients with a single small hepatocellular carcinoma
Clin Mol Hepatol. 2016;22(4):477-486.   Published online December 25, 2016
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Clin Mol Hepatol. 2016;22(4):477-486.   Published online December 25, 2016
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Clinical significance and predictive factors of early massive recurrence after radiofrequency ablation in patients with a single small hepatocellular carcinoma
Image Image Image Image
Figure 1. Flow chart of inclusion and exclusion criteria for the study. HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; RFA, radiofrequency ablation.
Figure 2. Overall recurrence and recurrence beyond the Milan criteria. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative overall recurrence rates were 23.1%, 58.4%, and 70.8%, respectively; the corresponding cumulative recurrence rates beyond the Milan criteria were 3.9%, 12.9%, and 17.0%. RFA, radiofrequency ablation.
Figure 3. (A) Overall survival in the 438 patients. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative overall survival rates were 98.1%, 86.3%, and 72.8%, respectively. (B) Overall survival according to the pattern of recurrence. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative overall survival rates were 95.4%, 84.7%, and 81.8%, respectively, in patients with no recurrence (n=136), 99.6%, 86.4%, and 70.1% in patients with recurrence within the Milan criteria or late recurrence (n=275), and 92.6%, 46.5%, and 0.05% in patients with early massive recurrence (n=27) (P<0.001). RFA, radiofrequency ablation.
Figure 4. Early massive recurrence according to risk factors. Early massive recurrence was noted in 3.6% of patients with no risk factors (n=237), 10.7% in those with a tumor sized ≥2 cm and not adjacent to the colon (n=182), 28.6% in those with tumors adjacent to the colon and sized <2 cm (n=7), and 45.5% in tumors sized ≥2 cm and adjacent to the colon (n=12) (P<0.001).
Clinical significance and predictive factors of early massive recurrence after radiofrequency ablation in patients with a single small hepatocellular carcinoma
Total (438) Recurrence (302) No recurrence (136) P-value
Age* 57.1±9.5 57.3±9.4 56.6±9.8 0.641
Sex 0.190
 Male 330 (75.3) 233 (77.2) 97 (71.3)
 Female 108 (24.7) 69 (22.8) 39 (28.7)
Etiology of liver diseases 0.504
 HBV 317 (72.4) 212 (70.2) 105 (77.2)
 HCV 71 (16.2) 55 (18.2) 16 (11.8)
 Alcohol 17 (3.9) 12 (4.0) 5 (3.7)
 HBV & HCV 5 (1.1) 3 (1.0) 2 (1.5)
 Others 28 (6.4) 20 (6.6) 8 (5.9)
Child-Pugh class 0.300
 A 376 (85.9) 263 (87.1) 113 (83.1)
 B 62 (14.1) 39 (12.9) 23 (16.9)
Alpha-fetoprotein* (ng/mL) 139.7±431.0 144.6±445.3 128.9±398.9 0.713
Tumor size* (cm) 1.85±0.55 1.90±0.55 1.75±0.55 0.850
Conspicuity 0.599
 Good 355 (81.1) 247 (81.8) 108 (79.4)
 Poor 83 (18.9) 55 (18.2) 28 (20.6)
Tumor location 0.130
 Adjacent to surface 152 (34.7) 112 (37.1) 40 (29.4)
 Far from surface 286 (65.3) 190 (62.9) 96 (70.6)
Diaphragm 0.264
 Adjacent 36 (8.2) 28 (9.3) 8 (5.9)
 Not adjacent 402 (91.8) 274 (90.7) 128 (94.1)
Colon 0.205
 Adjacent 19 (4.3) 16 (5.3) 3 (2.2)
 Not adjacent 419 (95.7) 286 (94.7) 133 (97.8)
Vascular structures 0.525
 Adjacent 91 (20.8) 60 (19.9) 31 (22.8)
 Not adjacent 347 (79.2) 242 (80.1) 105 (77.2)
Factors Univariate
Multivariate
95% CI P-value 95% CI P-value
Age 1.03 (1.01-1.05) <0.001 1.04 (1.02-1.05) <0.001
Sex
 Male 1
 Female 0.87 (0.62-1.23) 0.44
Initial size
 <2 cm 1
 ≥2 cm 1.15 (0.85-1.56) 0.37
AFP (ng/mL) 1.00 (1.00-1.00)
Child Pugh class 0.65
 A 1 1 0.03
 B or C 1.36 (0.89-2.07) 0.15 1.60 (1.05-2.45)
Early massive recurrence
 No 1 1 <0.001
 Yes 6.99 (4.48-10.93) <0.001 8.43 (5.34-13.30)
Factors Univariable
Multivariable
95% CI P-value 95% CI P-value
Age 0.97 (0.93-1.01) 0.15
Sex
 Male 1
 Female 0.89 (0.36-2.21) 0.81
Initial size
 <2 cm 1 1
 ≥2 cm 2.67 (1.20-5.94) 0.02 2.30 (1.02-5.16) 0.04
AFP (ng/mL) 1.00 (1.00-1.00) 0.71
Child Pugh class
 A 1
 B or C 0.52 (0.12-2.18) 0.37
Conspicuity
 Good 1
 Bad 1.58 (0.67-3.74) 0.30
Adjacent to surface
 No 1 1
 Yes 2.43 (1.14-5.19) 0.02 1.76 (0.78-3.96) 0.17
Adjacent to diaphragm
 No 1
 Yes 1.42 (0.43-4.72) 0.57
Adjacent to colon
 No 1 1
 Yes 7.05 (2.84-17.51) <0.001 4.64(1.75-12.31) 0.002
Adjacent to vascular structure
 No 1
 Yes 0.65 (0.22-1.88) 0.42
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of patients with a single small HCC treated with RFA

HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; RFA, radiofrequency ablation.

Mean ± SD.

Table 2. Predictive factors for overall survival after RFA of a single small HCC

HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; RAF, radiofrequency ablation; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein.

Table 3. Predictive factors of early massive recurrence after RFA of a single small HCC

RFA, radiofrequency ablation; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein.