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Original Article

Impacts of muscle mass dynamics on prognosis of outpatients with cirrhosis

Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2022;28(4):876-889.
Published online: September 19, 2022

Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea

Corresponding author : Young Kul Jung Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, 123 Jeokgeum-ro, Danwon-gu, Ansan 15355, Korea Tel: +82-31-412-7670, Fax: +82-31-412-5582, E-mail: 93cool@hanmail.net
Hyung Joon Yim Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, 123 Jeokgeum-ro, Danwon-gu, Ansan 15355, Korea Tel: +82-31-412-6565, Fax: +82-31-412-5582, E-mail: gudwns21@korea.ac.kr

Editor: Won Kim, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Korea

• Received: August 2, 2022   • Revised: September 14, 2022   • Accepted: September 16, 2022

Copyright © 2022 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Impacts of muscle mass dynamics on prognosis of outpatients with cirrhosis
Clin Mol Hepatol. 2022;28(4):876-889.   Published online September 19, 2022
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Impacts of muscle mass dynamics on prognosis of outpatients with cirrhosis
Image Image Image Image Image
Figure 1. Flow diagram of patient inclusion. HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; CT, computed tomography.
Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier plots for LT-free survival after 1-year CT. (A) LT-free survival was not significantly different between two groups with non-sarcopenia and sarcopenia at 1 year (P=0.48). The LT-free survival was significantly stratified by (B) four groups (NN, SN, NS, and SS; overall P=0.04) and (C) eight groups (NN_A, NN_BC, SN_A, SN_BC, NS_A, NS_BC, SS_A, and SS_BC; overall P<0.001). There was no patient belonging to SN_BC. (D) The survival was well-stratified by G1–4 and Child-Pugh class (P<0.001), but not by ΔSMI/yr%. LT, liver transplantation; NN, nonsarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; SN, sarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; NS, non-sarcopenia to sarcopenia; SS, sarcopenia to sarcopenia; NN_A, NN with Child-Pugh class A; NN_BC, NN with Child-Pugh class B/C; SN_A, SN with Child-Pugh class A; NS_A, NS with Child-Pugh class A; NS_BC, NS with Child-Pugh class B/C; SS_A, SS with Child-Pugh class A; SS_BC, SS with Child-Pugh class B/C; G1, Child-Pugh class A and ΔSMI/yr% ≥-3.66; G2, Child-Pugh class A and ΔSMI/yr% <-3.66; G3, Child-Pugh class B/C and ΔSMI/yr% ≥-2.62; G4, Child-Pugh class B/C and ΔSMI/yr% <-2.62; CT, computed tomography; ΔSMI/yr%, % change in skeletal muscle index after 1 year.
Figure 3. Kaplan-Meier plots for the development of cirrhosis complication after 1-year CT. The development of cirrhosis complication was not well-stratified by (A) the sarcopenia status and (B) sarcopenia status change (P=0.30 and 0.73, respectively). However, based on (C) the four groups (G1–4) classified by Child-Pugh class and ΔSMI/yr%, it was well distinguished (P<0.001). LC, liver cirrhosis; NN, non- sarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; SN, sarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; NS, non-sarcopenia to sarcopenia; SS, sarcopenia to sarcopenia; G1, Child-Pugh class A and ΔSMI/yr% ≥-3.66; G2, Child-Pugh class A and ΔSMI/yr% <-3.66; G3, Child-Pugh class B/C and ΔSMI/yr% ≥-2.62; G4, Child-Pugh class B/C and ΔSMI/yr% <-2.62; CT, computed tomography; ΔSMI/yr%, % change in skeletal muscle index after 1 year.
Figure 4. Receiver operating characteristic curve of ΔSMI/yr% for development of cirrhosis complication within 6 months after 1-year CT. The AUCs of ΔSMI/yr% were (A) 0.817 in all, (B) 0.855 in patients with Child-Pugh class A, and (C) 0.754 in those with Child-Pugh classes B/C. ΔSMI/ yr%, % change in skeletal muscle index after 1 year; CT, computed tomography; AUC, area under curve.
Graphical abstract
Impacts of muscle mass dynamics on prognosis of outpatients with cirrhosis
Variable NN (n=471) SN (n=21) NS (n=15) SS (n=88) P-value
Age (years) 56.9 (51.2, 61.7) 56.0 (48.6, 60.1) 51.9 (49.1, 58.3) 58.2 (51.3, 61.3) 0.34
Male 285 (60.5) 16 (76.2) 11 (73.3) 69 (78.4) <0.01
BMI (kg/m2) 25.4 (23.7, 27.5) 24.1 (21.7, 25.1) 22.8 (21.7, 24.1) 20.8 (19.7, 23.1) <0.01
Hypertension 116 (24.6) 4 (19.1) 1 (6.7) 18 (20.5) 0.34
Diabetes mellitus 132 (28.0) 8 (38.1) 4 (26.7) 19 (21.6) 0.42
Alcohol-related 99 (21.0) 10 (47.6) 3 (20.0) 32 (36.4) <0.01
Hepatitis B 280 (59.5) 10 (47.6) 11 (73.3) 56 (63.6) 0.39
Hepatitis C 39 (8.3) 1 (4.8) 0 (0.0) 3 (3.4) 0.26
Platelets (×103/mm3) 127 (84, 172) 131 (85, 155) 139 (93, 163) 138 (97, 168) 0.90
Albumin (g/dL) 4.5 (4.2, 4.7) 4.5 (4.2, 4.7) 4.6 (3.8, 4.8) 4.4 (4.2, 4.7) 0.99
AST (U/L) 29 (24, 37) 31 (20, 39) 28 (26, 38) 27 (23, 41) 0.90
ALT (U/L) 23 (17, 31) 20 (15, 28) 23 (17, 31) 18 (13, 27) <0.01
Bilirubin (mg/dL) 0.84 (0.65, 1.25) 0.90 (0.57, 1.15) 1.00 (0.73, 1.64) 0.85 (0.66, 1.32) 0.57
Prothrombin time (INR) 1.08 (1.04, 1.16) 1.09 (1.03, 1.16) 1.09 (1.04, 1.14) 1.08 (1.03, 1.16) 0.90
Creatinine (mg/dL) 0.82 (0.70, 0.94) 0.82 (0.72, 0.93) 0.78 (0.72, 0.92) 0.76 (0.66, 0.90) 0.23
eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) 89.2 (76.9, 102.6) 90.5 (83.4, 107.3) 92.0 (80.0, 108.2) 96.7 (82.0, 114.0) <0.01
Sodium (mmol/L) 142 (140, 143) 142 (141, 142) 140 (139, 143) 141 (140, 143) 0.46
Ascites 30 (6.4) 0 (0.0) 3 (20.0) 6 (6.8) 0.26
Overt encephalopathy 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (1.1) 0.12
Child-Pugh score 5 (5, 5) 5 (5, 5) 5 (5, 5) 5 (5, 5) 0.44
Child-Pugh class B/C 34 (7.2) 0 (0.0) 1 (6.7) 1 (1.1) 0.14
MELD-Na score 8 (7, 10) 8 (7, 9) 9 (8, 12) 8 (7, 9) 0.32
SMI (cm2/m2) 55.7 (49.9, 62.0) 51.0 (50, 52.2) 48.1 (38.2, 48.7) 43.7 (37.6, 46.7) <0.01
∆SMI/yr% (%) -0.13 (-2.77, 2.38) 7.04 (4.34, 12.40) -7.99 (-12.57, -3.90) -0.40 (-4.03, 2.17) <0.01
Variable Univariate
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
HR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value
Age (years) 0.92 (0.85–1.00) 0.06
Gender, male 0.55 (0.16–1.89) 0.34
BMI (kg/m2) 1.04 (0.87–1.23) 0.70
HTN 2.09 (0.59–7.40) 0.25
DM 3.82 (1.08–13.55) 0.04 2.58 (0.95–7.00) 0.06 2.01 (0.73–5.50) 0.17 2.55 (0.94–6.94) 0.07
Alcohol-related 1.35 (0.35–5.21) 0.67
Hepatitis B 0.07 (0.01–0.56) 0.01 0.57 (0.20–1.62) 0.29 0.44 (0.16–1.22) 0.11 0.55 (0.19–1.59) 0.27
Hepatitis C 1.88 (0.12–6.62) 0.98
Platelets (×109/L) 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.07 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.42 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.17 0.99 (0.99–1.00) 0.31
Albumin (g/dL) 0.12 (0.05–0.26) <0.01 0.28 (0.08–1.02) 0.05 0.28 (0.07–1.08) 0.06
AST (U/L) 1.01 (1.00–1.01) 0.01 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.33 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.34 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.32
ALT (U/L) 0.99 (0.93–1.04) 0.61
Bilirubin (mg/dL) 2.00 (1.49–2.69) <0.01 1.05 (0.63–1.75) 0.85
Prothrombin time (INR) 65.06 (12.51–338.45) <0.01 2.06 (0.14–30.31) 0.60
Creatinine (mg/dL) 0.01 (0.01–0.79) 0.04
eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) 1.03 (1.01–1.05) <0.01 1.01 (0.99–1.03) 0.33 1.01 (0.99–1.03) 0.25 1.01 (0.99–1.03) 0.27
Sodium (mmol/L) 0.88 (0.73–1.08) 0.22
Ascites 18.56 (5.34–64.51) <0.01 1.74 (0.35–8.73) 0.50 1.81 (0.36–9.02) 0.47
Child-Pugh score 1.90 (1.55–2.33) <0.01 1.66 (1.34–2.07) <0.01
Child-Pugh class, B/C 13.65 (6.19–30.10) <0.01
MELD-Na score 1.32 (1.18–1.47) <0.01 1.03 (0.87–1.21) 0.76
Sarcopenia 2.08 (0.54–8.06) 0.29
SMI (cm2/m2) 0.95 (0.90–1.00) 0.04 0.94 (0.90–0.99) 0.02 0.95 (0.90–0.99) 0.02 0.95 (0.91–0.99) 0.02
∆SMI/yr% (%) 0.98 (0.90–1.07) 0.72
Variable Univariate
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
HR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value aHR (95% CI) P-value
Age (years) 1.02 (0.99–1.05) 0.19
Gender, male 1.06 (0.68–1.66) 0.80
BMI (kg/m2) 0.95 (0.89–1.02) 0.13
HTN 1.79 (1.15–2.79) 0.01 2.07 (1.21–3.54) <0.01 1.93 (1.16–3.21) 0.01 2.03 (1.20–3.42) <0.01
DM 1.82 (1.18–2.80) <0.01 1.17 (0.72–1.93) 0.53 1.12 (0.69–1.82) 0.65 1.23 (0.76–2.00) 0.40
Alcohol-related 4.48 (2.93–6.86) <0.01 2.00 (1.22–3.28) <0.01 2.22 (1.38–3.59) <0.01 1.99 (1.22–3.24) <0.01
Hepatitis B 0.20 (0.13–0.33) <0.01 0.37 (0.21–0.66) <0.01 0.33 (0.19–0.58) <0.01 0.38 (0.22–0.68) <0.01
Hepatitis C 0.48 (0.15–1.52) 0.21
Platelets (×109/L) 0.99 (0.98–0.99) <0.01 1.00 (0.99–1.00) 0.10 0.99 (0.98–1.00) <0.01 1.00 (0.99–1.00) 0.14
Albumin (g/dL) 0.14 (0.10–0.19) <0.01 0.33 (0.18–0.61) <0.01 0.32 (0.17–0.60) <0.01
AST (U/L) 1.01 (1.00–1.01) <0.01 1.01 (1.00–1.01) <0.01 1.01 (1.00–1.02) <0.01 1.01 (1.00–1.01) <0.01
ALT (U/L) 1.01 (1.00–1.01) 0.01 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.14 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.12 0.99 (0.98–1.01) 0.15
Bilirubin (mg/dL) 1.67 (1.48–1.89) <0.01 0.97 (0.74–1.27) 0.83
Prothrombin time (INR) 17.85 (9.34–34.11) <0.01 0.83 (0.22–3.11) 0.78
Creatinine (mg/dL) 0.50 (0.14–1.76) 0.28
eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) 1.01 (1.00–1.03) <0.01 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.96 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.70 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.81
Sodium (mmol/L) 0.81 (0.76–0.86) <0.01 0.96 (0.89–1.04) 0.35 0.92 (0.86–0.99) 0.03
Ascites 12.17 (7.64–19.38) <0.01 1.96 (0.98–3.91) 0.06 2.08 (1.04–4.14) 0.04
Child-Pugh score 1.77 (1.61–1.95) <0.01 1.35 (1.19–1.54) <0.01
Child-Pugh class, B/C 10.87 (6.94–17.02) <0.01
MELD-Na score 1.25 (1.20–1.31) <0.01 0.99 (0.92–1.08) 0.87
Sarcopenia 1.31 (0.78–2.21) 0.30
SMI (cm2/m2) 0.98 (0.96–1.01) 0.12
∆SMI/yr% (%) 0.95 (0.93–0.97) <0.01 0.96 (0.93–0.98) <0.01 0.96 (0.93–0.98) <0.01 0.95 (0.93–0.98) <0.01
Table 1. Characteristics of patients based on sarcopenia at the 1-year follow-up

Values are expressed as number (%) or median (interquartile range).

NN, non-sarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; SN, sarcopenia to non-sarcopenia; NS, non-sarcopenia to sarcopenia; SS, sarcopenia to sarcopenia; BMI, body mass index; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; INR, international normalized ratio; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; SMI, skeletal muscle index; ΔSMI/yr%, % change in SMI after 1 year.

Table 2. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses for LT-free survival after 1-year CT

The values of variables were derived by examinations at the 1-year follow-up.

Model 1, multivariable Cox regression analysis with DM, hepatitis B, platelet count, albumin, AST, bilirubin, INR, eGFR, presence of ascites, and SMI, which showed P<0.01 in univariate analyses, except for the conventional prognostic models including Child-Pugh and MELD-Na scores; model 2, multivariable Cox regression analysis with model 1 and Child-Pugh score but excluding the components of Child-Pugh score; model 3, multivariable Cox regression analysis with model 1 and MELD-Na score, but excluding the components of the MELD-Na score.

LT, liver transplantation; CT, computed tomography; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; BMI, body mass index; HTN, hypertension; DM, diabetes mellitus; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; INR, international normalized ratio; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; SMI, skeletal muscle index; ΔSMI/yr%, % change in SMI after 1 year.

Table 3. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses for the development of LC complication after 1-year CT

The values of variables were derived by examinations at the 1-year follow-up.

Model 1, multivariable Cox regression analysis with HTN, DM, alcohol, hepatitis B, platelet count, albumin, AST, ALT, bilirubin, INR, sodium, presence of ascites, and ΔSMI/yr%, which showed P<0.01 in univariate analyses, except for the conventional prognostic models including Child-Pugh and MELD-Na scores; model 2, multivariable Cox regression analysis with model 1 and Child-Pugh score but excluding the components of Child-Pugh score; model 3, multivariable Cox regression analysis with model 1 and MELD-Na score, but excluding the components of the MELD-Na score.

LC, liver cirrhosis; CT, computed tomography; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; BMI, body mass index; HTN, hypertension; DM, diabetes mellitus; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; INR, international normalized ratio; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; SMI, skeletal muscle index; ΔSMI/yr%, % change in SMI after 1 year.