MAFLD or MASLD: Which better represents the prognosis of the steatotic liver population: Letter to the editor on “Evolutionary changes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: A nationwide cohort study”

Article information

Clin Mol Hepatol. 2025;31(2):e128-e133
Publication date (electronic) : 2024 December 26
doi : https://doi.org/10.3350/cmh.2024.1008
1Department of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China
2Key Laboratory of Endocrine Glucose & Lipids Metabolism and Brain Aging, Ministry of Education, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China
3Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of Education, Haidian District, Beijing, China
4Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Haidian District, Beijing, China
5Department of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China
6Department of Endocrinology, Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China
Corresponding author : Jiajun Zhao Department of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 105#, Jiefang Road, Jinan, Shandong 250021, China. Tel: 86-531-55865765, Fax: +86-531-86942457, E-mail: jjzhao@sdu.edu.cn
Yongfeng Song Department of Endocrinology, Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 105#, Jiefang Road, Jinan, Shandong 250021, China. Tel: 86-531-55865765, Fax: +86-531-86942457, E-mail: syf198506@163.com
Editor: Gi-Ae Kim, Kyung Hee University, Korea
Received 2024 November 8; Revised 2024 December 10; Accepted 2024 December 24.

Dear Editor,

We read with great interest the recent paper by Jeong et al. [1], which found a significant association between changes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) status and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in a nationwide cohort. This finding provides important evidence for a deeper understanding of the role of MASLD in liver disease progression. Notably, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has undergone two name changes, first being renamed to metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) [2] and then to MASLD [3]. These renamings are not merely changes in nomenclature but involve adjustments in diagnostic criteria and management populations. In this context, it is crucial to comprehensively compare the differences in various clinical outcomes between MAFLD and MASLD populations to assess the impact of the new standards on disease management.

In our study, the clinical outcomes of steatotic liver disease are categorized into liver-related and extrahepatic outcomes, as well as all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Specifically, liver-related outcomes encompass the progression of steatotic liver disease, fibrosis, cirrhosis, as well as other related complications, including portal hypertension, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, liver cancer, liver faliure and more. These conditions are further defined by corresponding International Classification of Disease version 10 (ICD-10) codes, including G93.4, G94.3, I85, I86.4, I98.2, I98.3, K70.0, K70.3, K72, K74, K76.6, K76.7, R17, R18, and C22 [4]. On the other hand, extrahepatic outcomes include cardiovascular events and cancer. Cardiovascular outcomes involve conditions such as hypertensive heart disease, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, cerebrovascular events like strokes, and retinal vascular disorders. Cancer outcomes encompass a broad range of malignancies. These conditions are further defined by ICD-10 codes, with cardiovascular outcomes identified using I11.0, I13.0, I13.2, I20–I25, I50, I60–I69, H34, and cancer outcomes defined by codes C00–C97. However, most current studies primarily focus on cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in MAFLD and MASLD populations [5-7], with insufficient comparisons of intrahepatic outcomes and cause-specific mortality. Therefore, it is essential to delve deeper into these differences, especially regarding liver-related outcomes, to evaluate the impact of the new diagnostic criteria on disease management.

To achieve this goal, we conducted a study based on the large-scale prospective cohort data from the UK Biobank, including 459,211 British adults aged 40 to 69 years. Since the UK Biobank lacks imaging data such as liver ultrasound, we used the fatty liver index to define fatty liver and classified the population accordingly [8,9]. The overall prevalence rates of MAFLD and MASLD were 38.14% (n=175,156) and 32.95% (n=151,327), respectively. According to the two diagnostic criteria, we divided the population into four groups: MAFLD-ONLY (n=24,132), MASLD-ONLY (n=303), overlap group (n=151,024), and non-MAFLD/MASLD group (n=283,752) (Fig. 1). We systematically compared the baseline characteristics (Supplementary Table 1) and clinical outcomes (Table 1) of these four groups. As shown in Supplementary Table 1, firstly, the overlap group had the largest number of participants, indicating that despite changes in diagnostic criteria, most patients are simultaneously covered by both standards. Secondly, the number of individuals in the MAFLD-ONLY group far exceeded that in the MASLD-ONLY group, demonstrating the limitations of the MASLD diagnostic criteria in population coverage. Finally, individuals in the MASLD-ONLY group were generally lean at baseline and had worse liver-related indicators than the other groups, suggesting that this subgroup may have a higher risk of liver disease progression.

Figure 1.

The Venn diagram illustrates patients with hepatic steatosis categorized according to MAFLD and MASLD definitions. MAFLD, metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Liver and extrahepatic clinical outcomes, as well as all-cause and cause-specific mortality, in patients with hepatic steatosis categorized according to MAFLD and MASLD definitions

As shown in Table 1, our multivariate Cox regression models revealed that both MAFLD and MASLD populations are associated with significantly higher risks for liver-related, cardiovascular, cancer, all-cause and cause-specific mortality outcomes. After adjusting for three models, the liver-related outcome risk for the MASLD-ONLY group (hazard ratio [HR] 3.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.00–5.19; P<0.001) and the liver-related mortality risk (HR 17.62, 95% CI 8.66–35.83; P<0.001) remained significantly higher than those in other groups, whereas the cardiovascular disease risk (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.23–1.35; P<0.001), cancer risk (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.24–1.42; P<0.001), all-cause mortality risk (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.42–1.58; P<0.001), cardiovascular-related mortality risk (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.26–1.66; P<0.001), and cancer-related mortality risk (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.26–1.47; P<0.001) for the MAFLD-ONLY group were all higher than those in the MASLD-ONLY group. Given that the MASLD-ONLY group has a relatively small sample size (n=303), with even fewer cases in Table 1, caution is needed when interpreting the outcomes, particularly the extremely high hazard ratio for liver outcomes. Nevertheless, similar findings have been observed in the study by Jeong et al. [1], where the overall MASLD population consistently demonstrated progression in liver-related outcomes. In contrast, the MAFLD-ONLY group was more focused on extrahepatic outcomes but did not emphasize liver risks. In terms of cardiovascular outcomes, we found that the overlapping group exhibited the highest risk (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.29–1.35; P<0.001). Additionally, along with other research [6,7], similar to the study by Zhao and Deng [7], our population analysis shows that the mortality risk for MAFLD is higher than that for MASLD. However, our study takes a more comprehensive approach to outcome selection, including not only liver, cardiovascular, and cancer outcomes, but also expanding to related mortalities in these areas. While a recent article noted that the AIC value of MAFLD in all-cause mortality risk models was higher, indicating lower predictive accuracy compared to NAFLD and MASLD [10]. This suggests that there are certain limitations in the definitions of both MAFLD and MASLD.

In conclusion, our study demonstrates that regarding clinical outcomes and mortality risks, MAFLD focuses more on cardiovascular and other extrahepatic events, while MASLD emphasizes liver-related issues. Whether MAFLD or MASLD, the differing emphases on clinical outcomes pose challenges for patient management. Additionally, the current diagnostic criteria for MASLD may overlook many individuals, affecting management for this group. These differences require clinicians to consider the specific circumstances of patients when formulating treatment plans to ensure comprehensive and personalized care. Furthermore, understanding the distinct characteristics of these two diseases in terms of clinical outcomes can help optimize intervention strategies and improve treatment effectiveness.

Notes

Authors’ contribution

Professor Yongfeng Song and Jiajun Zhao designed and shaped the core ideas and critically reviewed key content. Ying Wang primarily contributed to conceptual understanding and involvement in the design, as well as data analysis and manuscript writing. Xiude Fan provided support in data analysis. Professor Shengfeng Wang made important contributions to the oversight and refinement of the statistical analysis. All authors reviewed and approved the submission.

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFA0806100), National Natural Science Foundation of China (82270922), Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation (ZR2020ZD14), and Innovation Team of Jinan (2021GXRC048).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors have no conflicts to disclose.

Abbreviations

AIC

Akaike Information Criterion

CVD

cardiovascular disease

FLI

fatty liver index

HCC

hepatocellular carcinoma

HR

hazard ratios

ICD-10

International Classification of Disease version 10

MAFLD

metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease

MASLD

metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

NAFLD

nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL

Supplementary material is available at Clinical and Molecular Hepatology website (http://www.e-cmh.org).

Supplementary Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of participants according to steatotic liver disease types

cmh-2024-1008-Supplementary-Table-1.pdf

References

1. Jeong S, Oh YH, Ahn JC, Choi S, Park SJ, Kim HJ, et al. Evolutionary changes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide cohort study. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:487–499.
2. Eslam M, Newsome PN, Sarin SK, Anstee QM, Targher G, Romero-Gomez M, et al. A new definition for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: an international expert consensus statement. J Hepatol 2020;73:202–209.
3. Rinella ME, Lazarus JV, Ratziu V, Francque SM, Sanyal AJ, Kanwal F, et al. A multisociety Delphi consensus statement on new fatty liver disease nomenclature. J Hepatol 2023;79:1542–1556.
4. Wargny M, Goronflot T, Rimbert A, Boursier J, Kab S, Henny J, et al. Primary hypocholesterolemia is associated with an increased risk of hepatic complications in the general population. J Hepatol 2024;80:846–857.
5. Pan Z, Shiha G, Esmat G, Méndez-Sánchez N, Eslam M. MAFLD predicts cardiovascular disease risk better than MASLD. Liver Int 2024;44:1567–1574.
6. Song R, Li Z, Zhang Y, Tan J, Chen Z. Comparison of NAFLD, MAFLD and MASLD characteristics and mortality outcomes in United States adults. Liver Int 2024;44:1051–1060.
7. Zhao Q, Deng Y. Comparison of mortality outcomes in individuals with MASLD and/or MAFLD. J Hepatol 2024;80:e62–e64.
8. Castellana M, Donghia R, Guerra V, Procino F, Lampignano L, Castellana F, et al. Performance of fatty liver index in identifying non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in population studies. A meta-analysis. J Clin Med 2021;10:1877.
9. Jones GS, Alvarez CS, Graubard BI, McGlynn KA. Agreement between the prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease determined by transient elastography and fatty liver indices. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022;20:227–229. e2.
10. Zhu Y, Ma X, Ni W, Yeo YH, Shi J, Li J. Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease is less effective in predicting mortality than non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: letter to the editor on “prognosis of biopsy-confirmed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a sub-analysis of the CLIONE study”. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:974–977.

Article information Continued

Figure 1.

The Venn diagram illustrates patients with hepatic steatosis categorized according to MAFLD and MASLD definitions. MAFLD, metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Table 1.

Liver and extrahepatic clinical outcomes, as well as all-cause and cause-specific mortality, in patients with hepatic steatosis categorized according to MAFLD and MASLD definitions

Outcome-population classification Number Multivariable model 1
Multivariable model 2
Multivariable model 3
HR (95% CI) P-value HR (95% CI) P-value HR (95% CI) P-value
Liver-related outcome
 Non-MAFLD 6,188 1 1 1
 MAFLD 8,185 2.30 (2.22–2.38) <0.001 2.22 (2.15–2.30) <0.001 1.97 (1.89–2.06) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 7,463 1 1 1
 MASLD 6,910 1.98 (1.92–2.05) <0.001 1.94 (1.87–2.01) <0.001 1.63 (1.56–1.69) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 6,171 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 1,292 2.58 (2.42–2.74) <0.001 2.44 (2.30–2.60) <0.001 2.65 (2.45–2.86) <0.001
 MASLD-only 17 2.86 (1.77–4.60) <0.001 2.87 (1.78–4.61) <0.001 3.22 (2.00–5.19) <0.001
 Overlap 6,893 2.26 (2.18–2.34) <0.001 2.19 (2.12–2.27) <0.001 1.91 (1.83–2.00) <0.001
Cardiovascular outcome
 Non-MAFLD 24,706 1 1 1
 MAFLD 26,836 1.61 (1.58–1.64) <0.001 1.56 (1.53–1.59) <0.001 1.31 (1.29–1.34) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 27,985 1 1 1
 MASLD 23,557 1.58 (1.55–1.60) <0.001 1.53 (1.50–1.56) <0.001 1.27 (1.24–1.30) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 24,682 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 3,303 1.41 (1.36–1.47) <0.001 1.39 (1.34–1.44) <0.001 1.29 (1.23–1.35) <0.001
 MASLD-only 24 0.78 (0.52–1.16) 0.213 0.75 (0.50–1.13) 0.172 0.95 (0.63–1.44) 0.823
 Overlap 23,533 1.64 (1.61–1.67) <0.001 1.59 (1.56–1.62) <0.001 1.32 (1.29–1.35) <0.001
Cancer outcome
 Non-MAFLD 15,989 1 1 1
 MAFLD 10,843 1.30 (1.27–1.34) <0.001 1.29 (1.26–1.33) <0.001 1.21 (1.17–1.25) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 17,511 1 1 1
 MASLD 9,321 1.25 (1.22–1.29) <0.001 1.25 (1.22–1.28) <0.001 1.16 (1.12–1.20) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 15,980 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 1,531 1.38 (1.31–1.46) <0.001 1.33 (1.26–1.41) <0.001 1.33 (1.24–1.42) <0.001
 MASLD-only 9 0.77 (0.40–1.49) 0.444 0.78 (0.40–1.50) 0.453 0.84 (0.43–1.61) 0.590
 Overlap 9,312 1.29 (1.26–1.33) <0.001 1.28 (1.25–1.32) <0.001 1.20 (1.16–1.23) <0.001
All-cause mortality
 Non-MAFLD 19,112 1 1 1
 MAFLD 19,597 1.40 (1.37–1.43) <0.001 1.33 (1.30–1.35) <0.001 1.29 (1.26–1.33) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 21,713 1 1 1
 MASLD 16,996 1.33 (1.30–1.36) <0.001 1.27 (1.25–1.30) <0.001 1.21 (1.18–1.24) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 19,085 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 2,628 1.47 (1.41–1.53) <0.001 1.37 (1.32–1.43) <0.001 1.50 (1.42–1.58) <0.001
 MASLD-only 27 1.28 (0.88–1.87) 0.198 1.30 (0.89–1.90) 0.174 1.39 (0.95–2.03) 0.085
 Overlap 16,969 1.39 (1.36–1.42) <0.001 1.32 (1.29–1.35) <0.001 1.28 (1.24–1.31) <0.001
Liver-related mortality
 Non-MAFLD 403 1 1 1
 MAFLD 795 2.63 (2.32–2.98) <0.001 2.53 (2.23–2.87) <0.001 2.99 (2.51–3.55) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 587 1 1 1
 MASLD 611 1.71 (1.53–1.92) <0.001 1.72 (1.53–1.94) <0.001 1.55 (1.34–1.80) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 395 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 192 4.82 (4.04–5.75) <0.001 4.09 (3.42–4.90) <0.001 6.41 (5.09–8.08) <0.001
 MASLD-only 8 15.82 (7.84–31.94) <0.001 15.74 (7.8–31.79) <0.001 17.62 (8.66–35.83) <0.001
 Overlap 611 2.37 (2.08–2.70) <0.001 2.32 (2.03–2.64) <0.001 2.62 (2.19–3.13) <0.001
CVD-related mortality
 Non-MAFLD 2,401 1 1 1
 MAFLD 3,438 1.74 (1.65–1.83) <0.001 1.63 (1.55–1.72) <0.001 1.33 (1.25–1.43) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 2,797 1 1 1
 MASLD 3,042 1.66 (1.58–1.75) <0.001 1.57 (1.49–1.66) <0.001 1.25 (1.18–1.34) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 2,394 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 400 1.56 (1.40–1.73) <0.001 1.49 (1.33–1.66) <0.001 1.45 (1.26–1.66) <0.001
 MASLD-only 4 1.25 (0.47–3.33) 0.659 1.27 (0.48–3.39) 0.631 1.78 (0.67–4.75) 0.251
 Overlap 3,038 1.76 (1.67–1.86) <0.001 1.66 (1.57–1.75) <0.001 1.33 (1.24–1.42) <0.001
Cancer-related mortality
 Non-MAFLD 9,959 1 1 1
 MAFLD 9,076 1.31 (1.27–1.35) <0.001 1.25 (1.22–1.29) <0.001 1.25 (1.21–1.30) <0.001
 Non-MASLD 11,197 1 1 1
 MASLD 7,838 1.24 (1.21–1.28) <0.001 1.21 (1.17–1.24) <0.001 1.19 (1.15–1.24) <0.001
 Non-MAFLD/MASLD 9,953 1 1 1
 MAFLD-only 1,244 1.41 (1.33–1.50) <0.001 1.31 (1.23–1.39) <0.001 1.36 (1.26–1.47) <0.001
 MASLD-only 6 0.59 (0.26–1.31) 0.196 0.59 (0.27–1.32) 0.201 0.61 (0.27–1.36) 0.226
 Overlap 7,832 1.29 (1.25–1.33) <0.001 1.24 (1.21–1.28) <0.001 1.24 (1.20–1.29) <0.001

Survey-weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to evaluate the association between hepatic steatosis and clinical outcomes. Three models were constructed with incremental adjustments as follows:

Model 1: Adjusted for sex and age.

Model 2: Further adjusted for race/ethnicity, smoking status, and frequency of alcohol intake.

Model 3: Additionally, adjusted for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), overweight, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol.

MAFLD, metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease; HR, hazard ratios; CI, confidence interval.

Statistical significance was defined as P<0.05.