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Letter to the Editor

Molecular stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma by metabolic-signaling pathways guides precision immunotherapy and TACE therapy


Published online: May 8, 2025

1Division of Hepatobiliary and Transplantation Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China

2Division of Hepatobiliary and Transplantation Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China

3Division of Hepatobiliary and Transplantation Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China

4Department of General Surgery, No. 454 Hospital of PLA, Nanjing, China

5Institute of Translational Medicine, School of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, Center for New Drug Safety evaluation and research, China Pharmaceutical University; Nanjing, China

Corresponding author : Decai Yu Division of Hepatobiliary and Transplantation Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, 210008, China Tel: +86-025-83106666-60911, E-mail: yudecai@nju.edu.cn
Weiwei Hu Institute of Translational Medicine, School of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, Center for New Drug Safety evaluation and research, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, 211198, China Tel: +86-15150556532, E-mail: huweiwei@cpu.edu.cn

Co-first authors with equal contributions.


Editor: Gi-Ae Kim, Kyung Hee University, Korea

• Received: March 27, 2025   • Revised: April 22, 2025   • Accepted: April 29, 2025

Copyright © 2025 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Dear Editor,
Tumor heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major factor contributing to its high lethality, significantly impacting therapeutic outcomes, complicating patient stratification, and hindering response prediction [1]. Molecular classification of HCC has greatly advanced our understanding of the mechanisms driving tumor heterogeneity and disease progression [2,3]. It has also shown promise in optimizing patient selection and guiding therapeutic decision-making, ultimately enhancing treatment efficacy [4]. Recently, Aoki et al. [5] demonstrated that pathological dedifferentiation in HCC is linked to the loss of liver-specific metabolism and a shift toward a glycolysis-dominant metabolic environment. Based on metabolic functions, they reclassified HCC into two major metabolism-based subclasses and further stratified it into five subtypes according to key oncogenic signaling pathways [5]. The “glycolysis” subclass, characterized by histopathological dedifferentiation and suppressed liver-specific metabolism, includes two subgroups: PI3K/mTOR-High and NOTCH/TGF-β-High, both associated with poor prognosis. In contrast, the “rich metabolism” subclass, which exhibits well-to-moderate differentiation and corresponds to Hoshida S3 with a favorable prognosis, can be further divided into three subtypes: IL6-JAK-STAT3-High, Wnt/β-catenin-High, and the intermediate K-RAS-High group [5].
Previously, we identified that liver-enriched genes are progressively downregulated with advancing pathological stages and dedifferentiation, and that the extent of liver-specific metabolic function loss can serve as a prognostic indicator for HCC patients [6]. We also identified a metabolic subtype based on glycolysis and liver-specific ketone body metabolism pathways, which may serve as a promising biomarker for predicting prognosis and therapeutic responses to ketogenic dietary [7]. Recently, we proposed a novel molecular classification, termed the fatty acid degradation (FAD) subtype (F1, F2, and F3), based on the FAD pathway and demonstrated its potential for guiding personalized treatment strategies [8]. We commend the authors for proposing the metabolic-signaling subtype of HCC. However, it is important to note that they did not establish a correlation between these subclasses and personalized therapeutic options, which may limit the study’s applicability in clinical decision-making. To bridge this gap, we validated the metabolic-signaling subclasses in two external cohorts and examined their correlation with therapeutic responses, providing further insights into their clinical relevance in HCC treatment.
First, we investigated the association between the metabolic-signaling subclasses and response to anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. Our in-house PD-1 cohort (GSE202069, n=41) and the Korean PD-1 cohort (ERP117672, n=40) were integrated as previously described [9], forming the newly termed Asian PD-1 cohort (n=81) (Supplementary Methods). The metabolic classifier stratified patients into the glycolysis subclass and the rich metabolism subclass (Supplementary Fig. 1A), with an average silhouette coefficient of 0.61, confirming the robustness of the classification (Fig. 1A). Further subclassification based on oncogenic signaling pathways divided the glycolysis and rich metabolism subclasses into two and three groups, respectively, with an acceptable silhouette coefficient (Supplementary Fig. 1B, Fig. 1B). The glycolysis subclass predominantly corresponded to the Inflamed, Hoshida S1, FAD F1, and Chiang proliferation subtypes, whereas the rich metabolism subclass was mainly associated with the Non-inflamed, Hoshida S3, FAD F3, and Chiang CTNNB1/Poly7 subtypes (Fig. 1C, Supplementary Table 1). Overall, the glycolysis subclass exhibited higher immune enrichment, response signatures, and elevated expression of immune cell markers, cytokines, and checkpoint molecules compared to the rich metabolism subclass. Notably, the NOTCH/TGF-β-High subclass, associated with the FAD F1 and Hoshida S1 subtypes, exhibited the highest level of immune infiltration, whereas the PI3K/mTOR-High and IL6-JAK-STAT3-High subclasses demonstrated intermediate immune activity. In contrast, the Wnt/β-catenin-High and KRAS-High subclasses were classified as immune-excluded (Fig. 1C, Supplementary Table 2). Interestingly, steatohepatitic hepatocellular carcinoma (SH-HCC), a distinct pathological subtype of HCC, was predominantly classified within the rich metabolism subclass, particularly within the IL6-JAK-STAT3-High and K-RAS-High groups. This finding is consistent with previous report indicating that the steatohepatitic subtype frequently exhibits IL-6/JAK/STAT pathway activation [10].
Clinically, the glycolysis subclass demonstrated a significantly higher anti-PD-1 response rate compared to the rich metabolism subclass (54.5% vs. 5.7%, P<0.001, Fig. 1D left panel, Supplementary Table 1). No significant differences in response rates were observed between the PI3K/mTOR-High and NOTCH/TGF-β-High subclasses. However, all patients in the IL6-JAK-STAT3-High and Wnt/β-catenin-High subclasses were non-responders to anti-PD-1 therapy (Fig. 1D right panel, Supplementary Table 2). This finding aligns with previous reports that IL-6/JAK1 and Wnt/β-catenin pathway activation promote cancer immune evasion in HCC [11,12].
Next, we classified a transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) cohort (GSE104580) based on metabolic and signaling pathway features. The silhouette coefficients and heatmap for the identified metabolic and signaling clusters are shown in Supplementary Figure 2. The rich metabolism subclass exhibited a significantly higher TACE response rate compared to the glycolysis subclass (78.7% vs. 30.6%, P<0.001, Fig. 1E left panel, Supplementary Table 3). Notably, the PI3K/mTOR-High subclass had the lowest TACE response rate, while the IL6-JAK-STAT3-High subclass demonstrated the highest response rate (Fig. 1E right panel, Supplementary Table 4). Collectively, these findings suggest that patients in the rich metabolism subclass, particularly those with IL6-JAK-STAT3 pathway activation, are more likely to benefit from TACE.
Despite these insights, our study has several limitations. First, the analysis was conducted using retrospective cohorts, which may introduce selection bias. Second, as this study is based on correlation analysis, the precise molecular mechanisms underlying the differential therapeutic responses among the metabolic-signaling subclasses remain to be fully elucidated.
In conclusion, we commend the authors for their pivotal and promising study. Our research provides additional external validation of metabolic-signaling subclasses and demonstrates their predictive value for clinical responses to immunotherapy and TACE. Further investigations in larger prospective cohorts are warranted to explore the clinical utility of the metabolic-signaling classification in guiding personalized therapy for HCC patients.

Authors’ contribution

All authors contributed to this study at different levels. All authors read and approved the final version.

Study concept and design (Binghua Li, Weiwei Hu, Decai Yu); acquisition of data (Binghua Li, Yanchao Xu, Yican Zhu, Yukun Zhang, Tianci Luo, Zijie Wu, Laizhu Zhang; statistical analysis and interpretation of data (Binghua Li, Yanchao Xu, Yican Zhu, Zijie Wu, Laizhu Zhang); drafting of the manuscript (Binghua Li); critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content (Binghua Li, Yanchao Xu, Yican Zhu, Weiwei Hu, Decai Yu).

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82372834, 82173129, and 82373911), Jiangsu Outstanding Youth Foundation (BK20240119) and the Fundings for Clinical Trials from the Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University (2023-LCYJ-PY-32).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors have no conflicts to disclose.

Supplementary material is available at Clinical and Molecular Hepatology website (http://www.e-cmh.org).
SUPPLEMENTARY DISCUSSION
SUPPLEMENTARY METHODS
SUPPLEMENTAL REFERENCES
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Discussion,Methods,Refences.pdf
Supplementary Figure 1.
Violin plots illustrating the ssGSEA scores of Hallmark pathways across different subclasses. (A) Violin plots comparing the metabolic activity of various pathways between the Glycolysis and Rich Metabolism subclasses. (B) Violin plots showing the ssGSEA scores of different pathways across distinct signaling subclasses.
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Fig-1.pdf
Supplementary Figure 2.
Metabolic and signaling pathway-based molecular classification predicts therapeutic response to TACE in HCC. (A) Silhouette analysis of the two metabolic pathway-based subclasses and five signaling pathway-based subclasses in the TACE cohort. (B) Heatmap illustrating the ssGSEA enrichment scores of metabolic and signaling pathways across different subclasses and their correlation with TACE response. TACE, Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma.
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Fig-2.pdf
Supplementary Table 1.
Demographic and baseline characteristics - Phase 2 study in MASH
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Table-1.pdf
Supplementary Table 2.
Contingency table showing the association between clinicopathologic characteristics and signaling subtypes in the Asian PD-1 cohort
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Table-2.pdf
Supplementary Table 3.
Contingency table showing the association between clinicopathologic characteristics and metabolic subtypes in the TACE cohort
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Table-3.pdf
Supplementary Table 4.
Contingency table showing the association between clinicopathologic characteristics and signaling subtypes in the TACE cohort
cmh-2025-0344-Supplementary-Table-4.pdf
Figure 1.
Metabolic-signaling subtypes predict response to immunotherapy and TACE in hepatocellular carcinoma. (A, B) Silhouette analysis of the two metabolic pathway-based subclasses (A) and the five signaling pathway-based subclasses (B) in the Asian PD-1 cohort. (C) Heatmap illustrating correlations between clinicopathologic and immunologic characteristics across metabolic and signaling pathway-based subclasses. P-values comparing the Glycolysis and Rich metabolism subclasses are annotated on the right. (D) Proportion of anti-PD-1 responders and non-responders across the two metabolic subclasses (left panel) and five signaling subclasses (right panel) in the Asian PD-1 cohort. (E) Distribution of TACE responders and non-responders across the two metabolic subclasses (left panel) and five signaling subclasses (right panel) in the TACE cohort (GSE104580). TACE, Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization.
cmh-2025-0344f1.jpg

FAD

fatty acid degradation

HCC

hepatocellular carcinoma

SH-HCC

steatohepatitic hepatocellular carcinoma

TACE

Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization
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Molecular stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma by metabolic-signaling pathways guides precision immunotherapy and TACE therapy
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Figure 1. Metabolic-signaling subtypes predict response to immunotherapy and TACE in hepatocellular carcinoma. (A, B) Silhouette analysis of the two metabolic pathway-based subclasses (A) and the five signaling pathway-based subclasses (B) in the Asian PD-1 cohort. (C) Heatmap illustrating correlations between clinicopathologic and immunologic characteristics across metabolic and signaling pathway-based subclasses. P-values comparing the Glycolysis and Rich metabolism subclasses are annotated on the right. (D) Proportion of anti-PD-1 responders and non-responders across the two metabolic subclasses (left panel) and five signaling subclasses (right panel) in the Asian PD-1 cohort. (E) Distribution of TACE responders and non-responders across the two metabolic subclasses (left panel) and five signaling subclasses (right panel) in the TACE cohort (GSE104580). TACE, Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization.
Molecular stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma by metabolic-signaling pathways guides precision immunotherapy and TACE therapy